Energy Economic Growth And Geopolitical Futures Pdf

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At the level of international relations, geopolitics is a method of studying foreign policy to understand, explain and predict international political behavior through geographical variables. These include area studies , climate , topography , demography , natural resources , and applied science of the region being evaluated.

This book presents eight varied scenarios of possible global futures, emphasizing the interconnectedness of three drivers of change: energy prices, economic growth, and geopolitics. Other published global future scenarios focus on only one of these factors, viewing, for example, economic growth as unaffected by energy prices or energy prices in isolation from geopolitical conditions. In this book, Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson offer a new approach to scenario construction that acknowledges the codependence of these key drivers and integrates qualitative analysis with a quantitative model.

Energy Strategy Reviews

Among the questions tackled by Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson in this book are the following: Will there be more wars or peace? What country or countries will dominate, and which ones will fade in geopolitical significance? Will the unprecedented sixty year surge in world economic growth continue or come to an end? And will shortages of energy or other resources constrain the global future? This book offers a new approach to creating outlooks that consider the interconnectedness of three key drivers—economic growth, energy abundance, and geopolitics.

Eight varied scenarios, integrating a quantitative model and qualitative analysis, that examine the interplay of three key drivers over the next four decades. This book presents eight varied scenarios of possible global futures, emphasizing the interconnectedness of three drivers of change: energy prices, economic growth, and geopolitics. Other published global future scenarios focus on only one of these factors, viewing, for example, economic growth as unaffected by energy prices or energy prices in isolation from geopolitical conditions. In this book, Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson offer a new approach to scenario construction that acknowledges the codependence of these key drivers and integrates qualitative analysis with a quantitative model. The eight scenarios represent possible combinations of high or low energy prices, strong or weak economic growth, and global harmony or disharmony across three time periods: the s, to , and to Interested readers can download this interactive model to alter or build scenarios themselves. Assessing the probability of each scenario, they conclude that increased U.

Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios

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Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios

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